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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has averaged 23.5 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 96th percentile.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.8 shots from downtown per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 34.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road.

The matchup vs. Portland is a strong one; when the Trail Blazers have the home court advantage, they have given up the 23rd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (16.2).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed over the course of the season.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games while on the road.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases stat production across the board.

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