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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has posted 23.5 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 96th percentile.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 34.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 95th percentile.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one; when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (18.3).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Timberwolves have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

More Jaylen Brown Player Props

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