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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has scored 23.5 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 96th percentile.
  • Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.8 three-point shots per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Jaylen Brown has averaged 34.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 95th percentile.
  • The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.
  • The matchup vs. the Hawks is a good one for threes; the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (39.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaylen Brown has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this season.
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.
  • The Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • When playing at home, the Hawks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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