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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

Boston Celtics vs Portland Trail Blazers

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 18.3 shots from the field per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 34.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a favorable one for field goals; the other team's starting SFs have posted the 22nd-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (45.6%).

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's committed over the course of the season at home.

The Boston Celtics have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games at home.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

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