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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/6/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has averaged 23.5 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 96th percentile.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.8 three-point shots per game on the road this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 34.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 95th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing away from home.

The Cavaliers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

The matchup against Cleveland is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Cavaliers have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have posted the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (21.0%).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games on the road.

The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease plays for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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