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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2023

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 18.3 shots from the field per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 34.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The matchup vs. the Knicks is a positive one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (16.7).

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Knicks have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season at home.

The Boston Celtics have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games playing at home.

The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Celtics.

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