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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 18.3 shots from the field per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The matchup vs. the Nets is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 26th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (13.6).

The Nets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.5 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home.

The Boston Celtics rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games at home.

The Nets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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