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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 2/23/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has averaged 23.5 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 96th percentile.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.8 three-point shots per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 34.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. Indiana is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Pacers are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 12th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (10.9).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.

The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Pacers is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.2 foul shots per game this year (8th-least in the league).

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