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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 2/8/2023

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 20.5 field goals per game this season, a big improvement over his 18.2 mark last season.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 10.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 35.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 97th percentile.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league at home this year.

The matchup against De'Anthony Melton is a good one for field goals; when Melton is on the road opposing starting SGs this year, they have sunk a massive 45.8% of their shot attempts from the field (-221 percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the 76ers is a tough one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (30.2%).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The 76ers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The 76ers have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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