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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 6/17/2024

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks

Jaylen Brown Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown lands in the 86th percentile for 3-point attempts while playing at home, putting up 5.7 per game this year.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 6.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Boston Celtics.

Jaylen Brown ought to see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (3.0).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Boston Celtics will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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