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Jaylen Brown Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-172).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +140.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Jaylen Brown has converted 42.9% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 9.1% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the league.Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown places in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 32.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Celtics.Jaylen Brown will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improve player production across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown registers in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.5 fouls per game when playing at home this year.This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 3.9 3-point attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, identifying this as a challenging matchup.The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.The Celtics will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Cavaliers).Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics grade out 5thworst in in the NBA at home with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
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