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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/27/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown registers in the 89th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, compiling 5.9 per game this year.

Jaylen Brown has played 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 91st percentile.

Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 5.5 three attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, labeling this as a strong matchup.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown places in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year.

The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the Celtics.

Jaylen Brown will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production for all stats.

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