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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 5/25/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jaylen Brown Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +144 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has made 40.8% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 9.3% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year while at home.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.9 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.

Jaylen Brown has played 35.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.9).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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