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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 5/23/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has attempted 7.0 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Jaylen Brown has tallied 35.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
  • The matchup against the Heat is a good one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.9).
  • The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaylen Brown has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (86th percentile).
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Celtics.
  • Jaylen Brown will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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