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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 5/21/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 7.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 35.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 98th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year as it relates to 3-point shots.

The matchup against the Heat is a good one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.9).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.

The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers stat production across the board.

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