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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Assists
Player Prop - 11/16/2024

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors

Jaylen Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has averaged 3.7 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric over this stretch of games.

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 33.7 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season.

Jaylen Brown ought to see a rise in output across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (82nd percentile).

The 3rd-slowest tempo home team in the league this year has been the Boston Celtics.

The Boston Celtics will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics grade out 2ndworst in in the league while at home with just 7.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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