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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Assists
Player Prop - 6/17/2024

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks

Jaylen Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has tallied 3.5 assists per game this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard in recent days.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 6.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.

Jaylen Brown ought to see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Boston Celtics will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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