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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Assists
Player Prop - 4/21/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jaylen Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-146/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -146.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has compiled 3.6 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 82nd percentile.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 32.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Jaylen Brown figures to get a boost in performance in all stat categories in light of holding the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

The Boston Celtics are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the most sluggish tempo away offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).

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