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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Assists
Player Prop - 3/3/2024

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors

Jaylen Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has tallied 3.7 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's hottest by this standard in recent games.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 33.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Celtics.

Jaylen Brown is expected to see a spike in performance for all stats in light of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.2 more than he's been called for in all games this year at home.

The 3rd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have snagged 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (saving possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).

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