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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Assists
Player Prop - 2/7/2024

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks

Jaylen Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -166 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 32.9 minutes per game at home this year.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Celtics.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 12thbest in in the NBA at home with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Jaylen Brown will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally boosts player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown lands in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.4 fouls per game at home this year.

While playing away from home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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