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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Assists
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Boston Celtics vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jaylen Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has put up 5.2 assists per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.1 higher than he's put up in all games this year at home.

Jaylen Brown has played 32.9 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 9.7 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (losing possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).

Jaylen Brown figures to see a rise in output across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has committed 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 0.1 more than he's committed overall this season at home.

The 7th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics.

The Celtics will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

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