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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Assists
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has compiled 3.2 assists per game at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric.
  • Jaylen Brown has tallied a terrific 35.6 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 35.9 minutes per game last year.
  • This year, their opposition has grabbed 10.2 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors (losing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaylen Brown has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (78th percentile).
  • The most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.
  • The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Celtics.
  • The Celtics rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jaylen Brown is expected to suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories considering playing away from hom in this game.

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