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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Assists
Player Prop - 5/23/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has put up 3.6 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the league's best in this category recently: 83rd percentile.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 35.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 97th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (86th percentile).

The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Celtics.

Jaylen Brown will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to decreases player performance in all stat categories.

More Jaylen Brown Player Props

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