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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Assists
Player Prop - 5/21/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has compiled 3.7 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the league's best in this category over this stretch: 83rd percentile.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 35.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 98th percentile.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.

The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers stat production across the board.

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