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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Assists
Player Prop - 4/21/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+138/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -156 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has averaged 4.8 assists per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 35.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 97th percentile.

The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Celtics.

The Hawks have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually decreases player production across the board.

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