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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Assists
Player Prop - 4/5/2023

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors

Jaylen Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has tallied 3.4 assists per game this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- near the top of the league in this category in recent games.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 35.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 97th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.

Away from home, the Raptors have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to improves player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to reduce possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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