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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Assists
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has compiled 3.4 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's best by this standard in recent games: 84th percentile.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 34.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 95th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this season.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.

The Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing at home, the Hawks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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