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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Assists
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

Boston Celtics vs Portland Trail Blazers

Jaylen Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has compiled 3.6 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the best in the league in this category in recent games: 82nd percentile.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 34.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally improves player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's committed over the course of the season at home.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

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