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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Assists
Player Prop - 3/6/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +116.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has totaled 3.4 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the league leaders by this metric over this stretch of games: 84th percentile.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 34.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 95th percentile.

The Cavaliers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games on the road.

The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease plays for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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