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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Assists
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+118/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has totaled 3.6 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the best in the NBA by this standard recently: 82nd percentile.
  • Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The Nets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Jaylen Brown will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player performance in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaylen Brown has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.5 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home.
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games at home.
  • The Nets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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