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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Assists
Player Prop - 3/1/2023

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-158/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -158.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has totaled 3.6 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the NBA by this metric over this stretch: 82nd percentile.
  • Jaylen Brown has tallied 34.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
  • The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Cavaliers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jaylen Brown will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to boosts player performance in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaylen Brown has been called for 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's been called for overall this season at home.
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing at home.
  • The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while traveling, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Celtics.

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