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Jaxson Hayes

Jaxson Hayes Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Jaxson Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaxson Hayes has sunk 81.1% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 7.2% higher than he's put through the net overall this year while playing on the road.
  • With respect to offense, the Los Angeles Lakers's exceptional 123.4 points per game while playing away from home comes in as the 4th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Lakers have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).
  • The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Dereck Lively II has been very high (4.0 foul shot attempts per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Jaxson Hayes comes in at the 6th percentile for three-point prowess without the home court advantage with a weak 0.0% rate this year.
  • Jaxson Hayes has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
  • The matchup against Dereck Lively II is a hard one for threes; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have totaled a measly 0.4 3-point shots per game (3rd percentile).
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA away from home with a mere 9.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
  • Jaxson Hayes stands to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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