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Jaxson Hayes

Jaxson Hayes Points
Player Prop - 4/8/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Lakers

Jaxson Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaxson Hayes has converted 82.9% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 9.1% higher than he's made overall this year away from home.

In terms of scoring, the Lakers's terrific 120.6 points per game as the away team measures as the 5th-most in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup against Isaiah Hartenstein is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 2.5 3-point shots per game (90th percentile).

The Los Angeles Lakers will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Isaiah Hartenstein has been very high this year (3.9 foul shot attempts per game when they are playing on the road: 90th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaxson Hayes has attempted 0.1 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile among all players in the league.

Jaxson Hayes has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.2 more than he's committed in all games this year on the road.

The 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Lakers.

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jaxson Hayes figures to suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats in light of playing away from home in this game.

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