Jaren Jackson Jr. Steals - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Steals

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 7:46 PM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-175/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +145 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has tallied 1.1 steals per game this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric over this stretch of games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to more plays for the Grizzlies.
Jaren Jackson Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to increases stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.