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Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has successfully made 2.7 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has been on the court for 29.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
  • The fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies will likely get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies grade out best in in the league when playing away from home with 14.7 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. slots into the 100th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 3.5 fouls per game this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7).
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has made a mere 4.3 foul shots per game this year, significantly less than his 5.1 rate last year.
  • The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the league).
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. figures to suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this game.

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