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Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/10/2025

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-137/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has sunk 53.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 15.4% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season playing at home.
  • Among all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. measures in the 76th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 29.0 minutes per game playing at home this year.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are on the road (6th-most in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. comes in at the 99th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 3.2 fouls per game playing at home this year.
  • As it relates to treys, the Memphis Grizzlies's poor 35.2% rate of made threes as the home team comes in as the 7th-fewest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
  • The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
  • The Grizzlies will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has sunk just 4.3 free throws per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 5.1 mark last season.

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