Jaren Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2024

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Jaren Jackson Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Orlando Magic vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 30, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 10:47 PM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -151.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 20.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. rates in the 86th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, tallying 5.6 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 31.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
The matchup against Orlando is a good one for field goals; when the Magic have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have compiled the 10th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (49.9%).
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Jaren Jackson Jr. has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (100th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games in their home city, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Jaren Jackson Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces stat production across the board.

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