Jaren Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has put up 27.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's put up over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 30.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to three-point attempts.
The 7th-quickest tempo visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Favors Under

Jaren Jackson Jr. has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have averaged 3.4 three attempts per game (11th-lowest in the league) against the Pelicans, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 13 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have brought down 11.9 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans (maintaining possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).
Jaren Jackson Jr. should experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this contest.