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Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 17.0 shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 13.3 rate last season.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 5.6 three-point shots per game this year, a significant increase from his 4.6 rate last year.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has tallied 30.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
  • In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA at home this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Memphis Grizzlies.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to shooting, the Grizzlies's subpar 105.6 points per game playing at home measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.
  • Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 1.3 three-pointers per game (11th-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a difficult matchup.
  • The 4th-least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
  • Over the last 5 games, the other team has collected 13.6 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can generate extra opportunities for offense).
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to decrease player production across the board.

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