Jaren Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 3:55 AM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 13.1 rate, Jaren Jackson Jr.'s field goal attempts have spiked this year to 15.2 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. registers in the 75th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 31.1 minutes per game while at home this year.
With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
This year, their opposition has shot 44.9% on shots from the field (8th-weakest in the league) vs. the Lakers, creating a challenging matchup.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have compiled 22.1 points per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive performance.

Favors Under

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted and missed 3.4 three-point shots per game on his home court this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the NBA by this standard: 76th percentile for misses at home.
In regard to scoring, the Grizzlies's unimpressive 108.6 points per game away from home measures as the 4th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The 7th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have secured 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers (lengthening possessions that can create further opportunities for offense).
Jaren Jackson Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally decreases stat production for all stats.