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Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 15.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 7.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted overall this season.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has committed 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this year.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year in terms of three-pointers.
  • The matchup against Denver is a difficult one; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 15 games (10.9).
  • The matchup against Denver may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 20 games when the Nuggets are playing at home (11th-least in the league).
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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