Jaren Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2023

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Jaren Jackson Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz · Feb 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has made 8.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.2 more than he's converted over the course of the year while on his home court.
Jaren Jackson Jr. has sunk a terrific 40.5% of his three-point attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 31.8 rate last year.
Jaren Jackson Jr. has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.0 more than he's played overall this season at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Jazz have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased possessions for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. Jarred Vanderbilt is a tough one; he has given up a mere 13.0 points per game when matched up against fellow starting PFs this year (4th percentile).
The matchup vs. Kelly Olynyk is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; when Olynyk is playing on the road and defending opposing starting PFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game (12th percentile).

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