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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2025

Miami Heat vs LA Clippers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has attempted 11.3 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted overall this season.

James Harden has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.

The LA Clippers rank as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The matchup against the Heat is a good one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

James Harden has converted a terrific 6.4 free throws per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 4.2 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.

The Clippers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the slowest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

James Harden will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

More James Harden Player Props

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