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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 3/9/2025

LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has attempted 11.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 2.8 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

James Harden has played 34.4 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

When it comes to three-pointers, the Clippers's outstanding 43.1% rate of converted threes playing at home measures as the 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

In comparison to last year's 4.2 rate, James Harden's free throws scored have increased this year to 6.3 per game.

James Harden stands to get a boost in performance in all facets of the game in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a hard one; when the Kings are away from home, they have given up the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (15.2).

The 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the LA Clippers.

The Kings have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce opportunities for the LA Clippers.

The LA Clippers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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