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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 11/15/2024

Houston Rockets vs LA Clippers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 11.7 clip, James Harden's shots have risen this year to 16.3 per game.

James Harden has averaged 34.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 89th percentile.

The LA Clippers are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 6 games (the Rockets).

The Clippers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the NBA, James Harden places in the 98th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, averaging a colossal 7.4 free throws per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Harden has attempted and missed 5.5 attempts from beyond the arc per game this season, significantly more than his 4.2 mark last season.

When it comes to shooting, the Clippers's poor 109.7 points per game ranks 8th-fewest in the league this year.

Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 12.8 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive output.

The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Clippers.

The matchup vs. Houston may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 1.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets have the home court advantage (least in the NBA).

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