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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 3/24/2024

LA Clippers vs Philadelphia 76ers

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, James Harden places in the 93rd percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 34.6 minutes per game on his home court this year.
  • The LA Clippers rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
  • This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 46.2% on threes (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
  • James Harden has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 9.1% more than he's converted in all games this year when playing at home.
  • The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 4.9 free throws per game this year when the Philadelphia 76ers are away from home (8th-most in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In contrast to last season's 20.9 mark, James Harden's points per game have regressed this season to 17.3.
  • The matchup against Tyrese Maxey is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when guarding fellow starting PGs this year, they have attempted a mere 5.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game (7th percentile).
  • The Clippers have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Clippers will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from facing the most sluggish tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the 76ers).
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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