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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2024

LA Clippers vs Atlanta Hawks

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has attempted 8.0 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Out of all players in the league, James Harden comes in at the 93rd percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 34.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

When it comes to offense, the Clippers's remarkable 116.2 points per game while on their home court settles in as the 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. the Hawks is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 5th-most treys per game in the NBA this year (2.8).

James Harden figures to see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 14.9 rate, James Harden's shots from the field have been reduced this season to 11.6 per game.

The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Clippers.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Clippers.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 4thworst in in the NBA playing at home with just 8.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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