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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 3/6/2024

Houston Rockets vs LA Clippers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-166/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -166.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has attempted 13.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

James Harden has attempted 8.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Out of all players in the league, James Harden lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 34.6 minutes per game this year.

The Clippers check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.

The LA Clippers are expected to see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Rockets).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Houston is a hard one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are playing at home (3.0).

The Clippers have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA as the away team this year.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have come down with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the Houston Rockets (preserving possessions that can spark added opportunities for offense).

Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 1.7 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, struggling to get to the foul line.

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