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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 3/4/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs LA Clippers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -142.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, James Harden comes in at the 95th percentile for threes sunk, putting up 2.8 per game this year.

James Harden has played 34.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 94th percentile.

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a positive one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (21.7).

The LA Clippers rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Harden has attempted a mere 11.4 field goals per game this season, significantly lower than his 14.9 rate last season.

With respect to 3-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.

The 6th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the league this year has been the Clippers.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Clippers.

James Harden will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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