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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 2/23/2024

Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has successfully made 3.6 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from three in all games this year while on the road.
  • James Harden has averaged 34.3 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
  • The matchup against Memphis is a positive one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are playing at home, they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (22.8).
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 7thbest in in the NBA away from home with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
  • At home, the Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • James Harden has converted a lowly 5.1 field goals per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 6.4 rate last year.
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA while on the road this year.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Clippers.
  • James Harden will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production across the board.

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